Geopolitical Tensions over Iran in Local, Regional and Global Contexts
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Geopolitical Tensions over Iran in Local, Regional and Global Contexts
Annotation
PII
S207987840008089-6-1
DOI
10.18254/S207987840008089-6
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Andrei Manoilo 
Affiliation:
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Institute of Scientific Information on Social Sciences of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Konstantin Strigunov
Affiliation: Independent Researcher
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Abstract

The article discusses the crisis around Iran in three different contexts — local, regional and global. It is shown how the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps achieved its current power and determines the foreign and almost all domestic policy of Iran. An explanation is offered of how US actions on the international scene since 2001 contributed to strengthening position of this organization. An assessment is given of the strategy of action of a number of Middle Eastern adversary states of the Islamic Republic through the prism of their domestic political situation and regional situation. A comparative analysis of the actions of B. Obama and D. Trump administrations makes it possible to reveal differences in their approaches to Iran. For the first time the interconnectedness of the ongoing Trade War against China and the systemic pressure of D. Trump administration on Iran in the form of a multi-level non-classical war where these countries are regarded as two target objects is revealed. A scenario approach is presented in predicting the military and political situation around Iran in the near and medium term.

Keywords
Iran, IRGC, USA, Saudi Arabia, China, strategy, Trump
Received
11.11.2019
Publication date
30.12.2019
Number of characters
78242
Number of purchasers
4
Views
141
Readers community rating
0.0 (0 votes)
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